I believe the COVID-19 lockdown is killing extra individuals than it’s saving. Listed here are my many causes for pondering such a factor. : LockdownSkepticism

I think the COVID-19 lockdown is killing more people than it is saving. Here are my many reasons for thinking such a thing. : LockdownSkepticism
September 24, 2020 0 Comments

I think the COVID-19 lockdown is killing more people than it is saving. Here are my many reasons for thinking such a thing.

I believe the COVID-19 lockdown is killing extra individuals than it’s saving. Listed here are my many causes for pondering such a factor.

By Daniel Alman (aka Dan from Squirrel Hill)

September 24, 2020

I believe the COVIOD-19 lockdown is killing extra individuals than it’s saving.

I’m going to begin out by posting the CDC’s estimated survival charges, by age, for individuals who contract COVID-19:

Supply: https://internet.archive.org/internet/20200923185857/https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html

0 to 19: 99.997%

20 to 49: 99.98%

50 to 69: 99.5%

70+: 94.6%

For many age teams, the survival fee is kind of excessive. For my part, this doesn’t justify a lockdown of the overall inhabitants.

Now let’s check out my many causes for pondering that the lockdown is killing extra individuals than it’s saving:

The Nationwide Most cancers Institute estimates that there may very well be 10,000 further breast and colorectal deaths over the following decade because of this of missed screenings and delayed diagnoses

Supply: https://www.wjhg.com/2020/09/08/cancer-screenings-down-nationwide-during-the-covid-19-pandemic/

Most cancers surgical procedures and organ transplants are being postpone for coronavirus

Supply: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/08/op-ed-cancer-surgeries-and-organ-transplants-are-being-put-off-for-coronavirus.html

Increased charges of unemployment correlate very strongly with increased charges of suicide and drug overdoses

Supply: https://thefederalist.com/2020/03/30/how-shutting-down-the-economy-much-longer-could-kill-tens-of-thousands-of-americans/

A report by the United Nations cites the expected hurt that can occur to tens of thousands and thousands of youngsters in low revenue international locations as a results of the COVID-19 international extensive shutdown.

Examples of this hurt to kids embrace will increase in malnutrition, lack of schooling, elevated charges of youngster being pregnant, decreased entry to well being care, decreased charges of vaccination, elevated charges of infectious illness, elevated charges of water borne sickness, and elevated charges of dying:

Supply: https://unsdg.un.org/websites/default/information/2020-04/160420_Covid_Children_Policy_Brief.pdf

Anxiousness from reactions to Covid-19 will destroy not less than seven instances extra years of life than might be saved by lockdowns

Supply: https://www.justfacts.com/news_covid-19_anxiety_lockdowns_life_destroyed_saved

Childhood vaccine charges for preventable ailments like measles and whooping cough have fallen in the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, elevating the chance of an extra well being disaster.

In New York Metropolis… the variety of vaccine doses administered from March 23 to Could 9 fell 63 % in contrast with the identical interval final 12 months.

In kids older than 2 years, it fell 91 %…

… Docs places of work have been closed…

… The numbers in New York match a nationwide development…

… from mid-March to mid-April, medical doctors within the federally funded Vaccines for Youngsters program for the uninsured ordered about 2.5 million fewer doses of all routine non-influenza vaccines and 250,000 fewer doses of measles-containing vaccines in comparison with the identical interval in 2019…

Supply: https://thehill.com/coverage/healthcare/498797-childhood-vaccine-rates-plummet-amid-coronavirus-pandemic-risking-new

Polio and measles might surge after disruption of vaccine packages. A new examine of 129 international locations discovered that the interruption of inoculation efforts might put 80 million infants vulnerable to getting lethal, preventable ailments.

Supply: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/22/well being/coronavirus-polio-measles-immunizations.html

Why most Covid-19 deaths gained’t be from the virus

Supply: https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200528-why-most-covid-19-deaths-wont-be-from-the-virus

The worldwide lockdown was put into place based mostly on the bogus, false, and very inaccurate Imperial School mannequin.

Sweden didn’t have a lockdown.

Specialists, who cited the Imperial School mannequin, predicted that Sweden would have 40,000 COVID-19 deaths by Could 1.

The precise quantity was 2,769.

The identical bogus Imperial School mannequin was used to implement the lockdowns for the remainder of the world.

Sources: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/information/2020/05/05/sweden-suppressed-infection-rates-without-lockdown/

Imperial College Model Applied to Sweden Yields Preposterous Results

Nobel Prize-winning scientist: “the injury achieved by lockdown will exceed any saving of lives by an enormous issue”

Supply: https://www.theblaze.com/information/nobel-prize-winning-scientist-shares-covid-19-data-showing-strict-lockdowns-were-an-overreaction

It is a scientific paper referred to as “Full lockdown insurance policies in Western Europe international locations don’t have any evident impacts on the COVID-19 epidemic.”

Supply: https://www.medrxiv.org/content material/10.1101/2020.04.24.20078717v1.full.pdf

Do lockdowns save many lives? In most locations, the information say no.

Supply: https://www.wsj.com/articles/do-lockdowns-save-many-lives-is-most-places-the-data-say-no-11587930911?mod=opinion_lead_pos5

U.S. medical testing, most cancers screenings plunge throughout coronavirus outbreak – information agency evaluation

Supply: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-screenings-exc/exclusive-u-s-medical-testing-cancer-screenings-plunge-during-coronavirus-outbreak-data-firm-analysis-idUSKCN22A0DY

Some medical consultants worry extra individuals are dying from untreated emergencies than from the coronavirus

Supply: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/25/well being/coronavirus-heart-stroke.html

How the COVID-19 lockdown will take its personal toll on well being

Supply: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-cost-special-r/special-report-how-the-covid-19-lockdown-will-take-its-own-toll-on-health-idUSKBN21L20C

A examine of hospitalized COVID-19 sufferers in New York confirmed that 66% of them had been individuals who stayed dwelling

Supply: https://www.forbes.com/websites/lisettevoytko/2020/05/06/majority-of-new-coronavirus-cases-in-new-york-are-from-people-staying-at-home-not-traveling-or-working

Finish all restrictions, they had been pointless, Hebrew College researchers say

Supply: https://www.timesofisrael.com/end-all-restrictions-they-were-unnecessary-hebrew-university-researchers-say/

A scientific paper states:

Background: The pandemic brought on by COVID-19 has compelled governments to implement strict social mitigation methods to scale back the morbidity and mortality from acute infections. These methods nonetheless carry a vital threat for psychological well being which may result in elevated short-term and long-term mortality and is at present not included in modelling the influence of the pandemic. Strategies: We used years of life misplaced (YLL) as the principle consequence measure as utilized to Switzerland as an exemplar. We centered on suicide, melancholy, alcohol use dysfunction, childhood trauma on account of home violence, adjustments in marital standing and social isolation as these are identified to extend YLL within the context of imposed restriction in social contact and freedom of motion. We stipulated a minimal length of mitigation of three months based mostly on present public well being plans. Outcomes: The examine initiatives that the common particular person would endure 0.205 YLL on account of psychosocial consequence of COVID-19 mitigation measures. Nonetheless, this loss can be completely borne by 2.1% of the inhabitants, who will endure a mean 9.79 YLL. Conclusions: The outcomes offered listed here are more likely to underestimate the true influence of the mitigation methods on YLL. Nonetheless, they spotlight the necessity for public well being fashions to develop their scope to be able to present higher estimates of the dangers and advantages of mitigation.

Supply: https://www.medrxiv.org/content material/10.1101/2020.04.17.20069716v3

Within the U.S., the lockdown induced 1.4 million well being care staff to be laid off:

Supply: https://thehill.com/coverage/healthcare/496816-health-care-industry-decimated-by-coronavirus-loses-14-million-jobs

Take the Shutdown Skeptics Severely

People ought to fastidiously think about the potential prices of extended shutdowns lest they trigger extra deaths or hurt to the susceptible than they spare…

… minimizing the variety of COVID-19 deaths in the present day or a month from now or six months from now might or might not reduce the human prices of the pandemic when the complete spectrum of human penalties is taken into account…

… the warnings of considerate shutdown skeptics warrant cautious examine…

Supply: https://www.theatlantic.com/concepts/archive/2020/05/take-shutdown-skeptics-seriously/611419/

Cyril H. Wecht, one of many nation’s most effectively regarded medical doctors, made this glorious argument in opposition to the lockdown

Supply: https://www.post-gazette.com/opinion/Op-Ed/2020/05/14/Cyril-H-Wecht-Time-to-end-the-COVID-19-hysteria/tales/202005140031

Stanford College physician: ‘You might be mistaken’ in the event you assume coronavirus lockdowns present security”

Supply: https://www.theblaze.com/information/stanford-university-doctor-mistaken-coronavirus-lockdowns

Relapses are by means of the roof, overdoses are by means of the roof: How the pandemic is upping substance abuse

… They’ll’t go to a 12-step based mostly assembly…

… Persons are self-medicating as a result of quarantine. And so they’re ingesting extra, and abusing extra, and relapses are by means of the roof proper now.

Supply: https://thefederalist.com/2020/05/19/relapses-are-through-the-roof-overdoses-are-through-the-roof-how-the-pandemic-is-upping-substance-abuse/

Neil Ferguson’s Imperial mannequin “might go down in historical past as probably the most devastating software program mistake of all time, by way of financial prices and lives misplaced”

Supply: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/expertise/2020/05/16/neil-fergusons-imperial-model-could-devastating-software-mistake/

Rise in feminine genital mutilation in Somalia linked to coronavirus shutdown

Somali women out of faculty and caught at dwelling have been topic to a “large rise” in feminine genital mutilation…

“It’s a lifetime torture for ladies. The ache continues … till the woman goes to the grave. It impacts her schooling, ambition … the whole lot.”

… the UNFPA has warned that globally 2 million extra women may very well be minimize over the following decade due to how the worldwide pandemic has disrupted efforts to finish the follow.

Supply: https://internet.archive.org/internet/20200519232914/https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/05/19/coronavirus-update-us/

Greater than 500 medical doctors signed this letter, which is says, “In medical phrases, the shutdown was a mass casualty incident.”

Supply: https://www.scribd.com/doc/462319362/A-Physician-a-Day-Letter-Signed#fullscreen&from_embed

Dr. Mike deBoisblanc, head of the trauma division at John Muir Medical Heart in Walnut Creek, California, stated, “… we’ve seen a 12 months’s price of suicide makes an attempt within the final 4 weeks…”

Supply: https://abc7news.com/suicide-covid-19-coronavirus-rates-during-pandemic-death-by/6201962/

Rampant unemployment, isolation and an unsure future – might result in 75,000 deaths from drug or alcohol abuse and suicide

Supply: https://www.cbsnews.com/information/coronavirus-deaths-suicides-drugs-alcohol-pandemic-75000/

Within the U.S., the primary 9 weeks of the lockdown induced 38 million individuals to lose their jobs

Supply: https://thefederalist.com/2020/05/21/another-2-4-million-americans-filed-for-unemployment-last-week-38-million-since-march/

The fatality fee of COVID-19 “would most likely be 0.13 % for individuals exterior nursing houses”

Supply: https://www.washingtonpost.com/well being/tell-me-what-to-do-please-even-experts-struggle-with-coronavirus-unknowns/2020/05/25/e11f9870-9d08-11ea-ad09-8da7ec214672_story.html

A scientific examine stated, “Dwelling outbreaks had been the dominant class (254 of 318 outbreaks; 79.9%)”

Supply: https://www.medrxiv.org/content material/10.1101/2020.04.04.20053058v1.full.pdf

New England Journal of Medication: “We all know that sporting a masks exterior well being care services affords little, if any, safety from an infection”

Supply: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2006372

Knut Wittkowski, former head of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Analysis Design at The Rockefeller College’s Heart for Medical and Translational Science, stated the lockdown “most definitely made the state of affairs worse”

Supply: https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/05/15/we-could-open-up-again-and-forget-the-whole-thing/

Denmark, Finland say they noticed no improve in coronavirus after colleges re-opened

Supply: https://justthenews.com/world/europe/denmark-finland-say-they-saw-no-increase-coronavirus-after-schools-re-opened

Kanchan Soni, who lived in India, died as a result of the lockdown prevented her from getting dialysis

Supply: https://www.newindianexpress.com/cities/delhi/2020/apr/16/dialysis-patient-denied-treatment-dies-2130804.html

Chewing gum, wire-cutters, and superglue: the alarming rise of DIY Dentistry below coronavirus

Supply: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/health-fitness/physique/chewing-gum-wire-cutters-superglue-alarming-rise-diy-dentistry/

A scientific paper on the lockdown states, “In excessive burden settings, HIV, TB and malaria associated deaths over 5 years could also be elevated by up to 10%, 20% and 36%, respectively”

Supply: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/drugs/mrc-gida/2020-05-01-COVID19-Report-19.pdf

Polio and measles might surge after disruption of vaccine packages. A new examine of 129 international locations discovered that the interruption of inoculation efforts might put 80 million infants vulnerable to getting lethal, preventable ailments.

Supply: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/22/well being/coronavirus-polio-measles-immunizations.html

World Well being Group: “In case you are wholesome, you solely have to put on a masks in case you are caring for an individual with COVID-19”

Supply: https://abcnews.go.com/Well being/cdc-offer-conflicting-advice-masks-expert-tells-us/story?id=70958380

Reopening colleges in Denmark didn’t worsen outbreak, information reveals

Supply: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-denmark-reopening-idUSKBN2341N7

One month later: high Israeli mathematician predicted COVID-19 peaks after 40 days with or with out financial lockdowns – and he was proper!

Supply: https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/05/one-month-later-top-israeli-mathematician-predicted-covid-19-peaks-40-days-without-economic-lockdowns-right/

Dr. Kelly Fradin: “I’m a pediatrician and I believe we should always reopen colleges, even with the chance of coronavirus outbreaks”

Supply: https://www.insider.com/pediatrician-reopen-schools-even-if-it-leads-coronavirus-outbreaks-2020-6

This video reveals Dr. Anthony Fauci eradicating his masks when he thought he was not being filmed

https://twitter.com/CHIZMAGA/standing/1278029614070153217

Slowing the coronavirus is rushing the unfold of different ailments. Many mass immunization efforts worldwide had been halted this spring to stop unfold of the virus at crowded inoculation websites. The penalties have been alarming… cargo flights with vaccine provides had been halted… Now, diphtheria is showing in Pakistan, Bangladesh and Nepal. Cholera is in South Sudan, Cameroon, Mozambique, Yemen and Bangladesh. A mutated pressure of poliovirus has been reported in additional than 30 international locations. And measles is flaring across the globe, together with in Bangladesh, Brazil, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Nepal, Nigeria and Uzbekistan.

Supply: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/14/well being/coronavirus-vaccines-measles.html

Norway well being chief: lockdown was not wanted to tame Covid

Supply: https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/norway-health-chief-lockdown-was-not-needed-to-tame-covid

Antibody assessments level to decrease dying fee for the coronavirus than first thought

Mounting proof suggests the coronavirus is extra frequent and fewer lethal than it first appeared.

Supply: https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/05/28/863944333/antibody-tests-point-to-lower-death-rate-for-the-coronavirus-than-first-thought

Coronavirus pandemic might push 122 million to brink of hunger: Oxfam

Supply: https://globalnews.ca/information/7155931/coronavirus-starvation-oxfam/

Dr. Dan Wohlgelernter stated, “What we would have liked to do was not lock down all of society. Not shut down colleges. Not shut down all companies. You wanted to guard the aged. Significantly the aged within the nursing houses. It’s a small phase of our inhabitants. We might have allowed the remainder of the inhabitants to proceed with their lives, take satisfactory precautions however not be utterly shut down. The price of the shut down by way of the bodily, emotional, and psychological well being of individuals is big. We’ve solely seen the tip of the iceberg of people that have been shut-in. Who’ve misplaced their companies. Who’re dealing with melancholy. Who’re dealing with problems with psychological well being due to the implications. This ought to by no means occur once more. If we ever face this case once more we want to study the teachings from the errors and insurance policies that had been applied.”

Supply: https://theohiostar.com/2020/07/01/doctors-break-down-covid-response-and-the-demonization-of-hcq-doctors-tell-all/

Persons are extra more likely to contract COVID-19 at dwelling, examine finds

Supply: https://www.yahoo.com/information/people-more-likely-contract-covid-122611396.html

No identified case of instructor catching coronavirus from pupils, says scientist. There was no recorded case of a instructor catching the coronavirus from a pupil wherever on this planet, in response to one of many authorities’s main scientific advisers. Mark Woolhouse, a number one epidemiologist and member of the federal government’s Sage committee, informed The Occasions that it could have been a mistake to shut colleges in March given the restricted function kids play in spreading the virus.

Supply: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/no-known-case-of-teacher-catching-coronavirus-from-pupils-says-scientist-3zk5g2x6z

Coronavirus lockdown ‘made no distinction to variety of deaths’, examine claims

Supply: https://www.the-sun.com/information/1190721/coronavirus-lockdown-no-difference/

Cease stealing our kids’s youth within the identify of their grandparents. Each particular person I do know in his 70s says youngsters ought to return to high school. Behind guaranteeing People have meals, guaranteeing our kids are effectively educated is a really shut second in societal priorities.

Supply: https://thefederalist.com/2020/07/17/stop-stealing-our-childrens-youth-in-the-name-of-their-grandparents/

Citing instructional dangers, scientific panel urges that colleges reopen

Supply: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/15/well being/coronavirus-schools-reopening.html

Stanford physician Scott Atlas says the science reveals youngsters ought to return to high school

Supply: https://thefederalist.com/2020/07/15/stanford-doctor-scott-atlas-says-the-science-shows-kids-should-go-back-to-school/

German examine finds no proof coronavirus spreads in colleges

Supply: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/information/2020/07/13/german-study-finds-no-evidence-coronavirus-spreads-schools/

As of September 2020, Sweden, which by no means had a lockdown, or a masks mandate, had a decrease complete, cumulative per capita COVID-19 dying fee than the U.S.

Sources: https://internet.archive.org/internet/20200907000001/https://www.worldometers.data/coronavirus/

https://purpose.com/2020/09/11/the-covid-19-death-toll-is-rising-much-faster-in-the-u-s-than-in-sweden-which-now-has-fewer-deaths-per-capita/

https://fortune.com/2020/07/29/no-point-in-wearing-mask-sweden-covid/

Why we aren’t wearing masks in Sweden

Now this final one is simply hypothesis, as I should not have proof. However I do assume it’s price mentioning.

A minimum of since March 2020, and maybe even earlier, Dr. Vladimir Zelenko, from New York, has been claiming to have efficiently handled COVID-19 sufferers with a triple mixture of hydroxychloroquine, zinc, and azithromycin.

Dr. Zelenko’s alleged therapy is totally different than different remedies (which have been debunked) due to these two issues:

First, Dr. Zelenko’s alleged therapy includes a triple mixture of hydroxychloroquine, zinc, and azithromycin.

And secondly, Dr. Zelenko’s alleged therapy have to be given earlier than the affected person has change into so sick that they want hospitalization.

Different remedies with hydroxychloroquine have been debunked. However these different remedies don’t meet the 2 above standards.

I don’t know if Dr. Zelenko’s alleged therapy really works or not. However I’ve not seen it debunked.

On July 3, 2020, preprints.org reported the next on Dr. Zelenko’s alleged therapy:

COVID-19 Outpatients – Early Danger-Stratified Remedy with Zinc Plus Low Dose Hydroxychloroquine and Azithromycin: A Retrospective Case Collection Research

Of 335 positively PCR-tested COVID-19 sufferers, 127 had been handled with the triple remedy. 104 of 127 met the outlined threat stratification standards and had been included within the evaluation. As well as, 37 handled and eligible sufferers who had been confirmed by IgG assessments had been included within the therapy group (complete N=141). 208 of the 335 sufferers didn’t meet the threat stratification standards and weren’t handled. After 4 days (median, IQR 3-6, obtainable for N=66/141) of onset of signs, 141 sufferers (median age 58 years, IQR 40-60; 73% male) obtained a prescription for the triple remedy for five days. Unbiased public reference information from 377 confirmed COVID-19 sufferers of the identical neighborhood had been used as untreated management. 4 of 141 handled sufferers (2.8%) had been hospitalized, which was considerably much less (p<0.001) in contrast with 58 of 377 untreated sufferers (15.4%) (odds ratio 0.16, 95% CI 0.06-0.5). Subsequently, the chances of hospitalization of handled sufferers had been 84% lower than within the untreated group. One affected person (0.7%) died within the therapy group versus 13 sufferers (3.5%) within the untreated group (odds ratio 0.2, 95% CI 0.03-1.5; p=0.16). There have been no cardiac unwanted effects. Conclusions: Danger stratification-based therapy of COVID-19 outpatients as early as potential after symptom onset with the used triple remedy, together with the mixture of zinc with low dose hydroxychloroquine, was related with considerably much less hospitalizations and 5 instances much less all-cause deaths.

Supply: https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202007.0025/v1

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